Event odds table
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? — live odds
12 outcomes$6.5M traded$7K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026
Live Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? odds: Anthropic leads the field at 53% implied probability, ahead of SpaceX (46%) and OpenAI (1%). All 12 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $6.5M traded ($7K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Anthropic 53%
implied probability (53¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 12
1Anthropic
53%53¢ · $324 24h2SpaceX
46%46¢ · $7K 24h3OpenAI
1%1¢ · $10 24h4Kraken
0%0¢ · — 24h5Revolut
0%0¢ · — 24h6SHEIN
0%0¢ · — 24h7Databricks
0%0¢ · — 24h8Waymo
0%0¢ · — 24h9ByteDance
0%0¢ · — 24h10Discord
0%0¢ · — 24h11Stripe
0%0¢ · — 24h12Perplexity AI
0%0¢ · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Largest IPO by market cap in 2026??
- The market currently favors Anthropic at 53% implied probability (YES trading at 53¢).
- How much has been traded on Largest IPO by market cap in 2026??
- $6.5M has been traded across 12 outcome markets, $7K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
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