Which outcome is favored for Measles cases in U.S. in 2026??

This market is a threshold ladder rather than a single-winner race; its 50/50 line sits at 600 (46% implied). All 8 thresholds are ranked in the table below.

How much has been traded on Measles cases in U.S. in 2026??

$7.8M has been traded across 8 outcome markets, $10K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Event odds table

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? — live odds

8 outcomes$7.8M traded$10K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027

Live Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? odds: the market's 50/50 line sits at 600 (46% implied), with all 8 thresholds ranked below by probability and $7.8M traded, resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's 50/50 line

600 46%

implied — the threshold the market prices closest to even, across 8 levels

Full market details →

1400

99%99¢ · $977 24h 2450

95%95¢ · — 24h 3475

94%94¢ · $6 24h 4500

92%92¢ · $361 24h 5600

46%46¢ · $4K 24h 6750

16%16¢ · $4K 24h 71000

8%8¢ · $659 24h 81250

2%2¢ · — 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Measles cases in U.S. in 2026??: This market is a threshold ladder rather than a single-winner race; its 50/50 line sits at 600 (46% implied). All 8 thresholds are ranked in the table below.
How much has been traded on Measles cases in U.S. in 2026??: $7.8M has been traded across 8 outcome markets, $10K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

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