OpenAI IPO before 2027? — live odds

Part of IPOs before 2027?· see all 28 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"OpenAI IPO before 2027?" is trading at a 4% implied probability, with YES at 4¢ and NO at 97¢. $598K has changed hands so far, $2K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this finance market in real time.

implied probability

YES 4¢NO 97¢

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

$2K

24h volume

$598K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±50.1¢ swing band
104d ago
High volatility
±28¢ swing band
104d ago
Odds swing
67¢ → 99¢ (+32¢ in 15 min)
104d ago
High volatility
±60.8¢ swing band
104d ago
High volatility
±11.6¢ swing band
120d ago
Odds swing
54¢ → 91¢ (+37¢ in 15 min)
120d ago
High volatility
±39.3¢ swing band
120d ago
Odds swing
76¢ → 88¢ (+12¢ in 15 min)
120d ago
High volatility
±28.8¢ swing band
120d ago
Odds swing
78¢ → 18¢ (-60¢ in 15 min)
120d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.