Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? — live odds
"Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?" is trading at a 5% implied probability, with YES at 5¢ and NO at 95¢. $135K has changed hands so far, $2K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 16, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this finance market in real time.
5%
implied probability
recent price
+1¢ over the window
+1¢
24h change
$2K
24h volume
$135K
total volume
Nov 16, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?"?
The market currently prices YES at 5¢ and NO at 95¢, an implied probability of 5% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by November 16, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$135K has been traded in total, $2K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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