Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — live odds
"Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $724K has changed hands so far, $11K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.
0%
implied probability
recent price
-1¢ over the window
-1¢
24h change
$11K
24h volume
$724K
total volume
Jan 1, 2027
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 72d ago
High volatility
±31.2¢ swing band
- 72d ago
High volatility
±35.7¢ swing band
- 72d ago
High volatility
±36.3¢ swing band
- 72d ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 82¢ (+78¢ in 15 min)
- 72d ago
Odds swing
60¢ → 82¢ (+22¢ in 15 min)
- 72d ago
Odds swing
60¢ → 82¢ (+22¢ in 15 min)
- 72d ago
High volatility
±28.5¢ swing band
- 72d ago
High volatility
±23.1¢ swing band
- 72d ago
High volatility
±23.2¢ swing band
- 72d ago
Odds swing
60¢ → 2¢ (-58.5¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?
The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. The stated resolution source is https://www.francefootball.fr/.
How much has been traded on this market?
$724K has been traded in total, $11K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app
From the blog
Related Sports markets
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
0%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
62%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%