Event odds table
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 — live odds
19 outcomes$43.3M traded$806K · 24hresolves by October 31, 2026
Live Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 odds: Harry Kane leads the field at 63% implied probability, ahead of Lamine Yamal (30%) and Kylian Mbappé (4%). All 19 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $43.3M traded ($806K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Harry Kane 63%
implied probability (63¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 19
1Harry Kane
63%63¢ · $51K 24h2Lamine Yamal
30%30¢ · $54K 24h3Kylian Mbappé
4%4¢ · $133K 24h4Lionel Messi
3%3¢ · $61K 24h5Rodri
1%1¢ · $60K 24h6Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1%1¢ · $115K 24h7Ousmane Dembélé
0%0¢ · $58K 24h8Michael Olise
0%0¢ · $41K 24h9Erling Haaland
0%0¢ · $51K 24h10Fabian Ruiz
0%0¢ · $92K 24h11Jude Bellingham
0%0¢ · — 24h12Pau Cubarsi
0%0¢ · $10K 24h13Vinícius Júnior
0%0¢ · — 24h14Declan Rice
0%0¢ · $30K 24h15Vitinha
0%0¢ · $20K 24h16Achraf Hakimi
0%0¢ · — 24h17Bruno Fernandes
0%0¢ · $10K 24h18Lautaro Martinez
0%0¢ · $10K 24h19Luis Diaz
0%0¢ · $10K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?
- The market currently favors Harry Kane at 63% implied probability (YES trading at 63¢).
- How much has been traded on Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?
- $43.3M has been traded across 19 outcome markets, $806K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026.
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