Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — live odds
"Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $920K has changed hands so far, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.
0%
implied probability
recent price
-16¢ over the window
-16¢
24h change
—
24h volume
$920K
total volume
Oct 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 48d ago
Odds swing
6¢ → 70¢ (+64.5¢ in 15 min)
- 48d ago
High volatility
±17.4¢ swing band
- 48d ago
Odds swing
85¢ → 25¢ (-60.4¢ in 15 min)
- 48d ago
High volatility
±32¢ swing band
- 48d ago
High volatility
±23¢ swing band
- 48d ago
Odds swing
85¢ → 7¢ (-77.9¢ in 15 min)
- 48d ago
Odds swing
85¢ → 6¢ (-79.4¢ in 15 min)
- 48d ago
High volatility
±23.5¢ swing band
- 48d ago
Odds swing
6¢ → 25¢ (+18.5¢ in 15 min)
- 48d ago
Odds swing
7¢ → 82¢ (+75.3¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?
The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.francefootball.fr/.
How much has been traded on this market?
$920K has been traded in total, — of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app
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