Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? — final odds

This market has ended · September 20, 2026Final price — YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?" resolved on September 20, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $336K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

0%

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$10K

24h volume

$336K

total volume

Sep 20, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • complete set arb

    sum: 1.031 · edge: 0.021

    30d ago
  • complete set arb

    sum: 1.036 · edge: 0.026

    31d ago
  • complete set arb

    sum: 0.52 · edge: 0.47

    93d ago
  • complete set arb

    sum: 0.57 · edge: 0.42

    93d ago
  • complete set arb

    sum: 0.63 · edge: 0.36

    93d ago
  • complete set arb

    sum: 0.61 · edge: 0.38

    94d ago
How this market resolves

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

Quick answers

How did "Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?" resolve?

This market ended on September 20, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$336K was traded over the market's lifetime.

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Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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