Event odds table

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ? — live odds

5 outcomes$1.6M traded$164 · 24hresolves by January 1, 2028

Live OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ? odds: 800B leads the field at 79% implied probability, ahead of 1T (73%) and 1.2T (63%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.6M traded ($164 in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2028. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

800B 79%

implied probability (79¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5

Full market details →

About this event

Which outcome is favored for OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ??
The market currently favors 800B at 79% implied probability (YES trading at 79¢).
How much has been traded on OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ??
$1.6M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $164 of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?
The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.

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